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Published October 04, 2011, 08:05 PM

Warm, Dry Fall Good News For Spring Flood Outlook

GRAND FORKS (WDAZ-TV) - The very wet summer we had was raising concerns about next spring's flood outlook.

GRAND FORKS (WDAZ-TV) - The very wet summer we had was raising concerns about next spring's flood outlook.

But recent dry weather and warm temperatures have actually decreased moisture in the soil and lowered river levels.

This warm fall we're experiencing is having a big affect on soil moisture, making spring flooding a little less of a threat.

The Red River in Grand Forks is at its lowest level since March. Upstream in Fargo, the river is below 16 feet, its lowest level since October of 2009.

The dry weather is having an even bigger impact on soil moisture.

This will lead to a bigger improvement in the spring snow melt as soils can now soak up much more moisture.

"Conditions have dried considerably in the southern Red River Valley, so that's going to help things out as far as the potential for what may occur over the course of the winter and next spring provided we can continue to stay dry," National Weather Service data manager Mark Ewens said.

Fall precipitation levels through freeze-up will be crucial in helping determine spring flooding potential.

How much snow we get and the rate it melts are also significant factors in the severity of spring flooding.

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