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Published October 22, 2010, 07:22 PM

Questioned Poll Source Shows Berg Lead

The Rasmussen Report says one candidate is pulling further ahead of another in the heated race for the North Dakota House of Representatives.

The Rasmussen Report says one candidate is pulling further ahead of another in the heated race for the North Dakota House of Representatives.

This polling source has historically been questioned.

" Rassmussen has had a history of being skewed towards the Republican side."

Mark Jendrysik, a political science professor at UND, said Rasmussen Reports show a trend.

This after they released the latest numbers on Republican challenger Rick Berg's race against Democratic incumbent Earl Pomeroy for the North Dakota House of Representatives.

"All of Pomeroy's elections have been reasonably close, four, five, six percentage points.

For 26 years, but this year, Rasmussen shows Berg is ahead 10 points - 52 percent to 42 percent. The rest of the voters undecided.

Jendrysik, a former pollster said methodology means a lot.

"The robo calling. Basically having a digital voice call people may affect voter turnout. You're only calling landlines and that's only likely to get older people. You're missing younger people who exclusively use cell phones," Jendrysik said.

He said it is an acceptable method, since older people tend to vote more. However, poll numbers in general cannot often gauge an election turnout.

In North Dakota people are very spread out and often hard to reach, which can really affect an election.

"If people think their candidate is far behind they might not vote, if the think their candidate is far ahead they might not vote," said Jendrysik

Polling is only as good as the history of elections.

" It's going to be a close election. All we've got to go on is what we know now."

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