So far, the cold and the mild have about equaled each other out this winter season here in the Red River Valley. February could change that.
A mid-February pattern switch to a much milder pattern, which had been forecast by many of the weather models during January, appears to be falling short of expectations. Next week is likely to be a bit less frigid, but a long-term thawing period is looking less and less likely.
An area of deep low pressure in the Hudson Bay region is showing no sign of moving or weakening. This low will keep steering cold weather our direction.
If February remains mostly colder than average, it will be enough to bring down the mean temperature of the winter season from near-average to below average. This is the typical result of a winter when La Nina is cooling the waters of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, as it has been this winter.